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Trader profile

johnbaster

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$892.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.6%1,503 settled · past 90 days1 open · 0% underwater · 40 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$33.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded299Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+14.3% / $95% interval −15.8% to +44.4%719 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+16.5%n=146 settled
Sports
+13.3%n=573 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.6% · Decided 1,503 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete40 minutes ago
Current position value
$234
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.2K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
5
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
DN SOOPers Challengers · YesValue$234PnL+$32Avg74.7¢Current86.5¢270Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
KT Rolster Challengers · NoValue$0.10PnL+$0.03Avg70.8¢Current100¢0.1Shares
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 Winner
Arctic Pandas · YesValue$0PnL−$720Avg53.3¢Current0¢1,351Shares
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B
⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · YesValue$0PnL−$839Avg30.3¢Current0¢2,768.89Shares
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner
CITA Kaizen · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg29.2¢Current0¢5,753.52Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet johnbaster: 51.6% win rate over 1,503 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +14.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −15.8%, n=719 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.3% over 573 fills); +$892.2K lifetime P&L, $33.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.