PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x30da…a11d

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate27.2%475 settled · past 180 days0 open · 19 days ago
Lifetime volume$535.6K548 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded475Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.7% / $95% interval −79.3% to +46.0%19 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 27.2% · Decided 475 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$90.1K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
337
Showing the largest 8 of 337
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg24¢Current0¢833.33Shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg37.7¢Current0¢1,326.13Shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
OverValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg64.3¢Current0¢1,815.09Shares
Rayan: 1+ assists
YesValue$0PnL−$14Avg19.1¢Current0¢71.65Shares
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assists
YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg21.6¢Current0¢1,854.45Shares
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists
YesValue$0PnL−$120Avg18¢Current0¢666.67Shares
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner
Team Secret Whales · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg43.7¢Current0¢686.64Shares
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
Team Secret · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg37¢Current0¢270.27Shares
Showing 8 of 337 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x30dae004e6b74b30213aa4577658fed52ea1a11d: 27.2% win rate over 475 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −79.3%, n=19 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 19 fills); −$15.6K lifetime P&L, $535.6K traded, updated 2026-09-26.