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Trader profile

w1n3r

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$11.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate82.6%541 settled · past 180 days0 open · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded891Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.6% / $95% interval −103.0% to +81.9%236 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.6%n=236 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 82.6% · Decided 541 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$116.8K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
44
Showing the largest 8 of 44
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Linda Noskova · YesValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg90¢Current3,245.2Shares
Milwaukee Brewers · YesValue$0PnL−$1.6KAvg81¢Current1,999.96Shares
New York Yankees · YesValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg72.5¢Current1,999.98Shares
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · NoValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg75¢Current2,999.99Shares
Felix Auger-Aliassime · NoValue$0PnL−$4.5KAvg90¢Current5,000Shares
Rafael Jodar · NoValue$0PnL−$555Avg37¢Current1,500Shares
Murkel Dellien · YesValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg87¢Current2,000Shares
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$0PnL−$19.9KAvg96.9¢Current20,489.72Shares
Showing 8 of 44 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet w1n3r: 82.6% win rate over 541 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −103.0%, n=236 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.6% over 236 fills); −$11.6K lifetime P&L, $20.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.