PolyTrace
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Trader profile

PatientPanda

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$2.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…4 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded507Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+7.0% / $95% interval −164.7% to +178.7%121 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+1.4%n=113 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.1K
Concentration
34.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
103
Showing the largest 8 of 103
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
YesValue$444PnL−$51Avg23.6¢Current21.2¢2,096.95Shares
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?
YesValue$431PnL−$69Avg22.6¢Current19.5¢2,209.52Shares
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
YesValue$420PnL−$70Avg44.9¢Current38.5¢1,089.99Shares
LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 Winner
Arctic Pandas · YesValue$0.35PnL−$469Avg67¢Current0.1¢700Shares
LoL: ZYB Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO5) - LFL Promotion
ZYB Esport · YesValue$0PnL−$582Avg48.9¢Current0¢1,190.22Shares
LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner
Contingent EsportsValue$0PnL−$362Avg23.3¢Current0¢1,555.2Shares
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 Winner
Nongshim Red ForceValue$0PnL−$100Avg21¢Current0¢476.43Shares
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs
GAM Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$544Avg54.4¢Current0¢999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 103 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet PatientPanda: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −164.7%, n=121 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+1.4% over 113 fills); +$2.3K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-22.