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Trader profile

Orion96

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$35.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72%200 settled · past 180 days29 open · 66% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded654Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.3% / $95% interval −229.3% to +271.9%12 settled fills · 90d window

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 18 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72% · Decided 200 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$42.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19K
Concentration
47.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
67
Showing the largest 8 of 67
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
NoValue$20.2KPnL+$196Avg97¢Current98¢20,618.56Shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
YesValue$7.6KPnL+$2.4KAvg63.7¢Current93.5¢8,094.21Shares
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
NoValue$4.1KPnL−$4.8KAvg61.9¢Current28.5¢14,435.71Shares
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
NoValue$2.5KPnL+$306Avg84.4¢Current96.2¢2,610.67Shares
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
YesValue$1.5KPnL−$1.9KAvg55.1¢Current24.5¢6,299.78Shares
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$182Avg83.7¢Current95.9¢1,499.7Shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?
YesValue$988PnL−$12Avg84¢Current83¢1,190.48Shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
NoValue$545PnL−$15Avg56¢Current54.5¢999.98Shares
Showing 8 of 67 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Orion96: 72% win rate over 200 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +21.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −229.3%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days); +$35.9K lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-25.