Trader profile

alpha01-192

Directional

Profile updated2026-09-26

Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗

Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$3Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime

Win rate72.7%88 settled · past 180 days25 open · 60% underwater · 20 hours ago

Lifetime volume$151.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket

Markets traded345Lifetime coverage

90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…

Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.7% · Decided 88 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Current holdings

Sources

Holdings use the current Polymarket portfolio snapshot.

Last loaded20 hours ago

Current position value: $84.5K
Snapshot cash PnL: −$31K
Concentration: 25.8%
Positions: 55

EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares

US recession by end of 2026?

NoValue$21.8KPnL+$2.3KAvg81.1¢Current90.5¢24,057.18Shares

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YesValue$13.9KPnL+$5.6KAvg34.5¢Current57.5¢24,133.86Shares

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NoValue$10.8KPnL−$3.3KAvg49.1¢Current37.5¢28,715.58Shares

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

NoValue$8KPnL+$2KAvg73.9¢Current98.5¢8,080.55Shares

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

NoValue$5.4KPnL−$1.1KAvg58.7¢Current48.9¢11,129.91Shares

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

NoValue$4.7KPnL+$2.1KAvg44¢Current78.5¢6,000Shares

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

YesValue$3.1KPnL+$82Avg35.5¢Current36.5¢8,408.99Shares

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NoValue$3KPnL−$4.2KAvg18¢Current7.5¢40,000.36Shares

Showing 8 of 55 positions by current value

Results by category

Sources

Category results use decided positions from the last 90 days.

Results

Exposure

Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

No whale trades recorded for this wallet in the tracked window.

About this wallet

Wallet alpha01-192: 72.7% win rate over 88 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$3 lifetime P&L, $151.7K traded, updated 2026-09-26.