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Trader profile

alphaalii

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$18.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 10 settled so far10 open · 42% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$592.3K767 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded44Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.2% / $95% interval −364.5% to +340.2%31 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−12.2%n=31 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$62.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$1.4K
Concentration
32.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
10
Showing the largest 8 of 10
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
YesValue$20.4KPnL−$2.8KAvg71¢Current62.5¢32,673.8Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
YesValue$18.1KPnL+$1.9KAvg54.1¢Current60.5¢29,860.67Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
YesValue$10.4KPnL−$839Avg36.7¢Current34¢30,525.57Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
NoValue$4.2KPnL+$1.7KAvg9.8¢Current16.6¢25,542.54Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
YesValue$3.6KPnL+$325Avg29.6¢Current32.6¢11,091.11Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
YesValue$3KPnL+$687Avg21¢Current27.4¢10,810.49Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
YesValue$1.6KPnL−$81Avg43.6¢Current41.5¢3,777.16Shares
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
YesValue$749PnL+$395Avg12.5¢Current26.4¢2,837.55Shares
Showing 8 of 10 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet alphaalii: edge −12.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −364.5%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−12.2% over 31 fills); +$18.1K lifetime P&L, $592.3K traded, updated 2026-09-23.