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Trader profile

GUINESS123

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$62.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%27,643 settled · past 180 days209 open · 39% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$5.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,107Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 27,643 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded1 day ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$29.4K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$377.4K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
5.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$121Avg88.6¢Current95.6¢1,758Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$500Avg63.9¢Current91.5¢1,811Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$493Avg52.1¢Current90.4¢1,288Shares
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$1.1KPnL−$143Avg42.3¢Current37.5¢3,010Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$5Avg37.3¢Current37.5¢3,000Shares
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$5Avg72.8¢Current72.5¢1,520Shares
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL−$62Avg34.4¢Current32.5¢3,324Shares
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
YesValue$971PnL+$333Avg37.6¢Current57.2¢1,699Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet GUINESS123: 51.5% win rate over 27,643 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$62.1K lifetime P&L, $5.9M traded, updated 2026-09-25.