PolyTrace
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Trader profile

STDgambler

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate85.1%1,244 settled · past 180 days2 open · 50% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$13.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded743Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−9.5% / $95% interval −388.2% to +369.2%10 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−9.5%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 15 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 85.1% · Decided 1,244 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$1.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.1K
Concentration
79.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
46
Showing the largest 8 of 46
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$514Avg50¢Current79.1¢1,768.58Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$371PnL−$514Avg50¢Current21¢1,768.58Shares
Will Fabián Ruiz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
NoValue$0PnL−$470Avg47¢Current0¢999.99Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?
YesValue$0PnL−$0.27Avg0.3¢Current0¢89.56Shares
Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on June 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg1.1¢Current0¢299.99Shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 10?
YesValue$0PnL−$6Avg4¢Current0¢150Shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 11?
YesValue$0PnL−$12Avg12¢Current0¢99.96Shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.7KAvg13.8¢Current0¢12,000Shares
Showing 8 of 46 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet STDgambler: 85.1% win rate over 1,244 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −9.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −388.2%, n=10 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−9.5% over 10 fills); −$13.1K lifetime P&L, $13.6M traded, updated 2026-09-26.