PolyTrace
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Trader profile

HDGB

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$52.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.2%328 settled · past 90 days392 open · 41% underwater · 1 minute ago
Lifetime volume$121.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded542Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−4.3% / $95% interval −92.8% to +84.1%53 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−4.3%n=53 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.2% · Decided 328 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete1 minute ago
Current position value
$146.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$11.9K
Concentration
45.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
413
Showing the largest 8 of 413
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$66.7KPnL+$24.7KAvg50¢Current79.4¢84,001Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$17.3KPnL−$24.7KAvg50¢Current20.7¢84,001Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?
YesValue$2.9KPnL+$1KAvg13.4¢Current20.5¢14,247.93Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
YesValue$2.8KPnL+$1.1KAvg43.9¢Current73.7¢3,756.05Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$118Avg91.6¢Current96.5¢2,386.33Shares
Will FC Aktobe be relegated from the 2026 Kazakhstan Premier League?
NoValue$2KPnL+$24Avg96.9¢Current98.1¢2,008.31Shares
Will Atlético Nacional be relegated from the 2026 Colombia Primera A?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$72Avg95.3¢Current99.7¢1,655.11Shares
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
NoValue$1.6KPnL+$48Avg95.9¢Current98.9¢1,653.87Shares
Showing 8 of 413 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet HDGB: 51.2% win rate over 328 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −4.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −92.8%, n=53 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−4.3% over 53 fills); +$52.8K lifetime P&L, $121.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.