PolyTrace
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Trader profile

BookWarrior

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$211KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate49.7%17,343 settled · past 90 days15 open · 61% underwater · 56 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$40.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded351Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+38.6% / $95% interval −72.1% to +149.3%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+39.7%n=18 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 49.7% · Decided 17,343 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete56 minutes ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$74
Concentration
53.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
15
Showing the largest 8 of 15
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Xtreme Gaming · YesValue$995PnL+$99Avg90¢Current100¢995.82Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Natus Vincere · YesValue$322PnL−$16Avg55.1¢Current52.5¢614.18Shares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner
Paper Rex · NoValue$157PnL+$27Avg68.9¢Current83.5¢187.5Shares
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
LGD Gaming · NoValue$146PnL−$2Avg34¢Current33.5¢435.5Shares
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
Paper Rex · NoValue$112PnL−$10Avg62.6¢Current57.5¢195.5Shares
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs
MARKandLARRYValue$32PnL−$16Avg31.2¢Current21¢154Shares
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Just Players - Map 2 Winner
Nemiga · YesValue$30PnL−$0.17Avg90¢Current89.5¢33.27Shares
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Arcade Esports - Map 1 Winner
MARKandLARRYValue$24PnL−$48Avg40.6¢Current13.5¢176.92Shares
Showing 8 of 15 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BookWarrior: 49.7% win rate over 17,343 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +38.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −72.1%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+39.7% over 18 fills); +$211K lifetime P&L, $40.4M traded, updated 2026-09-24.