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Trader profile

Trump2028

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$352.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate40.7%113 settled · past 90 days20 open · 2% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$24.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded424Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−13.2% / $95% interval −244.2% to +217.8%163 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+0.4%n=11 settled
Politics
−16.7%n=145 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 40.7% · Decided 113 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$554.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$66.1K
Concentration
24.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
76
Showing the largest 8 of 76
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NoValue$135.2KPnL+$33KAvg60.1¢Current79.5¢170,096.24Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$119KPnL+$410Avg98.9¢Current99.3¢119,926.11Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$83KPnL+$3.2KAvg95.5¢Current99.4¢83,493.53Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?
NoValue$39.9KPnL−$355Avg99.3¢Current98.5¢40,531.64Shares
Iran leadership change by September 30?
NoValue$35.9KPnL+$187Avg98.8¢Current99.4¢36,118.42Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$29.8KPnL+$1.7KAvg83.6¢Current88.5¢33,665.16Shares
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
NoValue$28.2KPnL+$526Avg92¢Current93.8¢30,044.82Shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$20.4KPnL−$350Avg97.5¢Current95.9¢21,281.92Shares
Showing 8 of 76 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Trump2028: 40.7% win rate over 113 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −13.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −244.2%, n=163 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+0.4% over 11 fills); +$352.2K lifetime P&L, $24.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.