PolyTrace
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Trader profile

scout

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$295.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate88.8%125 settled · past 90 days9 open · 50% underwater · 53 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$50.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded438Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+24.9% / $95% interval −31.5% to +81.3%256 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+32.2%n=198 settled
Sports
−0.9%n=45 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 88.8% · Decided 125 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete53 minutes ago
Current position value
$962.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$3K
Concentration
45.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
9
Showing the largest 8 of 9
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$436.4KPnL+$161.4KAvg50¢Current79.4¢550,000Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$207.6KPnL+$2.1KAvg85.6¢Current86.5¢240,000.04Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$113.6KPnL−$161.4KAvg50¢Current20.7¢550,000Shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
NoValue$103.1KPnL+$551Avg93¢Current93.5¢110,233.68Shares
Will the Russian Ecological Party “The Greens” win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$91.3KPnL+$286Avg99.6¢Current100¢91,322.72Shares
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
YesValue$4.8KPnL+$13Avg95.5¢Current95.8¢5,000.02Shares
Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$10Avg99.6¢Current99.9¢3,726.36Shares
Will the Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$46Avg97.1¢Current99.9¢1,682.75Shares
Showing 8 of 9 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet scout: 88.8% win rate over 125 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +24.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −31.5%, n=256 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+32.2% over 198 fills); +$295.9K lifetime P&L, $50.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.