PolyTrace
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Trader profile

FXC

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate96.1%933 settled · past 180 days14 open · 1% underwater · 14 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,436Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.1% / $95% interval −69.4% to +63.2%73 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−2.3%n=65 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 96.1% · Decided 933 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded14 hours ago
Current position value
$23K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.4K
Concentration
23.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$5.5KPnL+$887Avg81.8¢Current97.6¢5,622.58Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 23?
YesValue$5KPnL+$3Avg99.9¢Current100¢5,000Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$599Avg70.1¢Current95.8¢2,334Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 23?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$1Avg99.9¢Current100¢2,100Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on September 24?
YesValue$2KPnL+$1Avg99.9¢Current100¢2,000Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.7KPnL+$582Avg60.6¢Current91¢1,912Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$301Avg71.7¢Current96.3¢1,224Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$112Avg87.2¢Current97¢1,140.99Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet FXC: 96.1% win rate over 933 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −69.4%, n=73 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−2.3% over 65 fills); −$13.9K lifetime P&L, $4.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.