PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x2d6a…8b5a

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$1.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 5 days ago
Lifetime volume$383.8K262 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded103Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.6% / $95% interval −26.1% to +18.9%67 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
+2.9%n=18 settled
Unmapped
+0.3%n=14 settled
Sports
−8.0%n=35 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 14 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$43.5K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
38
Showing the largest 8 of 38
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$900Avg39¢Current0¢2,307.69Shares
Vitality · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg20¢Current0¢1,000Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$255Avg42.7¢Current0¢596.49Shares
Alexander Bublik · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg68¢Current0¢1,511.76Shares
FURIA · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg53¢Current0¢1,886.89Shares
Gentle Mates · YesValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg63¢Current0¢2,380.95Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$400Avg43¢Current0¢930.55Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$575Avg48¢Current0¢1,197.57Shares
Showing 8 of 38 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x2d6a0431780757753066e9c79286fac7732e8b5a: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −3.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.1%, n=67 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (+2.9% over 18 fills); −$1.2K lifetime P&L, $383.8K traded, updated 2026-09-24.