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Trader profile

Happening9014

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$22.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate93.4%3,349 settled · past 180 days6 open · 0% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,432Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−20.0% / $95% interval −277.7% to +237.8%196 settled fills · 90d window
Science
−20.0%n=196 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 93.4% · Decided 3,349 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$2.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$17.3K
Concentration
34.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
76
Showing the largest 8 of 76
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?
NoValue$843PnL+$10Avg98.7¢Current100¢843.89Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 23?
NoValue$750PnL+$7Avg99¢Current100¢750.79Shares
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23?
NoValue$603PnL+$6Avg99¢Current100¢603.18Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 23?
YesValue$123PnL+$55Avg55.5¢Current100¢123.19Shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 23?
NoValue$89PnL+$0.40Avg99.5¢Current100¢89Shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 23?
NoValue$5PnL+$0.05Avg99¢Current100¢5.07Shares
Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 18?
NoValue$0.80PnL+$0.02Avg98¢Current100¢0.8Shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 17?
NoValue$0.79PnL+$0.02Avg97.7¢Current100¢0.79Shares
Showing 8 of 76 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Happening9014: 93.4% win rate over 3,349 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −20.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −277.7%, n=196 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Science (−20.0% over 196 fills); +$22.7K lifetime P&L, $3.6M traded, updated 2026-09-23.