PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x2cef…53f7

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$563Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet5 open · 35% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$57.5K63 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded39Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$1.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.9K
Concentration
52%
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NoValue$560PnL+$380Avg17.5¢Current54.6¢1,026.73Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
YesValue$321PnL−$179Avg52.1¢Current33.5¢958.95Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
YesValue$95PnL−$5Avg21¢Current20¢476.19Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
YesValue$90PnL−$10Avg15¢Current13.5¢666.67Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
YesValue$11PnL−$9Avg5.5¢Current3.2¢363.64Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 16-22?
YesValue$0PnL−$101Avg53.5¢Current0¢189.31Shares
Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?
YesValue$0PnL−$80Avg0.3¢Current0¢30,120.74Shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 14?
NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg26.4¢Current0¢5,000Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x2cef2b062868cd1a25c31fcac3e3e260aebc53f7: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$563 lifetime P&L, $57.5K traded, updated 2026-09-20.