PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x2ce8…4527

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$166.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%80 settled · past 90 days9 open · 99% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$25.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded735Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+21.3% / $95% interval +2.6% to +40.0%116 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+21.3%n=116 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 80 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$18.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.7M
Concentration
94.6%
Largest share of value
Positions
264
Showing the largest 8 of 264
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Gabriela Ruse
Gabriela Ruse · NoValue$17.6KPnL−$20Avg61.6¢Current61.5¢28,617.12Shares
Korea Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Maya Joint
Maya Joint · NoValue$247PnL+$3Avg46¢Current46.5¢531.44Shares
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$213PnL−$468Avg0.8¢Current0.3¢85,117.62Shares
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$175PnL−$275Avg0.9¢Current0.4¢50,000Shares
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$156PnL−$379Avg1.2¢Current0.4¢44,631.97Shares
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$150PnL−$450Avg1¢Current0.3¢60,000Shares
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$56PnL−$140Avg1.4¢Current0.4¢13,975.41Shares
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
YesValue$8PnL+$6Avg11.1¢Current60.5¢12.62Shares
Showing 8 of 264 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x2ce8505aa641791eb8460f6ac6bf5c0511e34527: 50% win rate over 80 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +21.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +2.6%, n=116 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+21.3% over 116 fills); +$166.6K lifetime P&L, $25.2M traded, updated 2026-09-25.