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Trader profile

Thebigshot

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$111.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…0 open · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded567Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−7.0% / $95% interval −44.8% to +30.8%113 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−8.7%n=111 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$89.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
50
Showing the largest 8 of 50
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg10¢Current0¢10,000Shares
Roehampton 2: Johannus Monday vs Lui Maxted
Lui Maxted · NoValue$0PnL−$387Avg43¢Current0¢899.74Shares
Set Handicap: Michelsen (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5)
MichelsenValue$0PnL−$840Avg42¢Current0¢1,999.94Shares
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢5,300Shares
Phan Thiet 4: Yuta Shimizu vs Philip Sekulic
Yuta Shimizu · YesValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg42¢Current0¢2,975.64Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$3.4KAvg46¢Current0¢7,500Shares
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2.9KAvg47¢Current0¢6,198.45Shares
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula · NoValue$0PnL−$2.7KAvg36¢Current0¢7,500Shares
Showing 8 of 50 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Thebigshot: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −7.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −44.8%, n=113 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−8.7% over 111 fills); −$111.7K lifetime P&L, $5.5M traded, updated 2026-09-25.