PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Importante

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate37.7%616 settled · past 180 days0 open · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded939Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+23.2% / $95% interval −23.4% to +69.7%49 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+23.2%n=49 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 13 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 37.7% · Decided 616 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$125.7K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
554
Showing the largest 8 of 554
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
FC Augsburg · YesValue$0PnL−$150Avg15¢Current0¢1,000Shares
GiantsValue$0PnL−$1Avg2¢Current0¢65Shares
Arkansas · NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg16¢Current0¢57Shares
Arkansas · NoValue$0PnL−$350Avg36¢Current0¢972.95Shares
Under · NoValue$0PnL−$675Avg45¢Current0¢1,500Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$9Avg11¢Current0¢85Shares
Over · YesValue$0PnL−$2Avg38¢Current0¢4Shares
Las Vegas Aces · NoValue$0PnL−$9Avg32¢Current0¢27.37Shares
Showing 8 of 554 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Importante: 37.7% win rate over 616 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +23.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −23.4%, n=49 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+23.2% over 49 fills); −$13.9K lifetime P&L, $1.9M traded, updated 2026-09-26.