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Trader profile

holygrail1

Market makers

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$22.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 100% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$635.7K341 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded72Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.3% / $95% interval −327.6% to +315.0%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.3%n=16 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 11 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded11 hours ago
Current position value
$329
Snapshot cash PnL
−$11.6K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$329PnL−$343Avg1.1¢Current0.5¢59,849.96Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$810Avg0.9¢Current0¢90,000Shares
Los Angeles DodgersValue$0PnL−$520Avg53.8¢Current0¢967.3Shares
Navy · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg6¢Current0¢1,666.67Shares
Down · NoValue$0PnL−$20Avg31¢Current0¢64.52Shares
UnderValue$0PnL−$78Avg15¢Current0¢523Shares
Lions · YesValue$0PnL−$750Avg10¢Current0¢7,500Shares
BroncosValue$0PnL−$150Avg32.9¢Current0¢456.5Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet holygrail1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −6.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −327.6%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.3% over 16 fills); −$22.3K lifetime P&L, $635.7K traded, updated 2026-09-26.