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Trader profile

crayven

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$5.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.8%444 settled · past 180 days88 open · 16% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$460.5K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded878Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.8% · Decided 444 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$16.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2.7K
Concentration
41.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
196
Showing the largest 8 of 196
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$6.8KPnL+$715Avg80¢Current89.5¢7,570.3Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.3KPnL+$35Avg65.5¢Current66.5¢3,511.09Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$1.7KPnL+$472Avg8.3¢Current11.7¢14,284.83Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
YesValue$1KPnL+$33Avg61.5¢Current63.5¢1,630.37Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$808PnL+$108Avg81.7¢Current94.3¢856.84Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
NoValue$590PnL+$90Avg80¢Current94.5¢624.69Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$386PnL+$26Avg66.7¢Current71.5¢539.65Shares
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?
NoValue$326PnL−$4Avg72.9¢Current72¢452.51Shares
Showing 8 of 196 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet crayven: 56.8% win rate over 444 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$5.9K lifetime P&L, $460.5K traded, updated 2026-09-25.