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Trader profile

UpTheBlues

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$85.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53.9%47,196 settled · past 90 days63 open · 43% underwater · 15 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$253.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,169Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.9% / $95% interval −15.2% to +13.5%22,843 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+7.4%n=803 settled
Sports
−1.2%n=22,040 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53.9% · Decided 47,196 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Complete15 minutes ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$219.3K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$7.1M
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
24.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar
Joaquin Aguilar · NoValue$54.4KPnL+$30.1KAvg44.7¢Current100¢54,444.1Shares
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
Under · NoValue$14.9KPnL+$5.3KAvg64.5¢Current100¢14,913.32Shares
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?
NoValue$13.9KPnL+$655Avg56.7¢Current59.5¢23,376.75Shares
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?
YesValue$12.4KPnL+$5.2KAvg58¢Current100¢12,374.06Shares
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?
NoValue$10.8KPnL+$148Avg72¢Current73¢14,791Shares
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09?
NoValue$8.4KPnL+$3.6KAvg57.9¢Current100¢8,443.58Shares
Korea Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaeva
Alina Charaeva · NoValue$6.4KPnL−$6.1KAvg36.2¢Current18.5¢34,381.23Shares
Korea Open: Yexin Ma vs Kimberly Birrell
Yexin Ma · YesValue$6.4KPnL−$8.6KAvg45.8¢Current19.5¢32,587.02Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet UpTheBlues: 53.9% win rate over 47,196 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −0.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −15.2%, n=22,843 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−1.2% over 22,040 fills); +$85.6K lifetime P&L, $253.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.