PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x2a5f…6c92

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$15.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate54.3%105 settled · past 90 days35 open · 50% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded103Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.8% / $95% interval −70.6% to +49.1%101 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+7.6%n=22 settled
Sports
−16.8%n=77 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 10 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 54.3% · Decided 105 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$282.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10.2K
Concentration
58.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$165.3KPnL+$52.5KAvg54¢Current79.1¢209,160Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$37.9KPnL−$52.3KAvg49.8¢Current21¢181,080Shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
NoValue$14.4KPnL+$585Avg95.8¢Current99.9¢14,400Shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$59Avg99.3¢Current100¢8,099.99Shares
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
YesValue$8.1KPnL+$3.6KAvg55.8¢Current100¢8,099.99Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
NoValue$8.1KPnL+$3.5KAvg56.8¢Current100¢8,099.9Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YesValue$7.6KPnL+$3.4KAvg55.2¢Current100¢7,646.13Shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$5.1KPnL+$331Avg85.3¢Current91.3¢5,579.99Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x2a5ffc44aeb0aa4d1cdf41df7e6be60ed4476c92: 54.3% win rate over 105 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −10.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −70.6%, n=101 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+7.6% over 22 fills); −$15.9K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-26.