PolyTrace
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Trader profile

animal.bean

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate36.6%942 settled · past 90 days58 open · 79% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,407Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−12.0% / $95% interval −202.0% to +178.1%37 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−11.6%n=33 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 35 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 36.6% · Decided 942 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded12 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$2.7K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$189.8K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
74.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
100 Thieves · YesValue$2KPnL+$320Avg84¢Current100¢2,000Shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?
YesValue$60PnL−$2Avg90¢Current87¢68.55Shares
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
YesValue$57PnL+$28Avg29¢Current57¢100Shares
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
YesValue$53PnL+$15Avg66.9¢Current92.5¢57.06Shares
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
YesValue$44PnL+$9Avg24.5¢Current30.7¢142.07Shares
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?
YesValue$39PnL+$4Avg71.4¢Current80.5¢49.02Shares
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?
YesValue$37PnL+$26Avg23.4¢Current77.5¢47.24Shares
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
YesValue$29PnL+$22Avg5¢Current20.4¢142.07Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet animal.bean: 36.6% win rate over 942 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −12.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −202.0%, n=37 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−11.6% over 33 fills); +$13.7K lifetime P&L, $2.9M traded, updated 2026-09-23.