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Trader profile

arefnk

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$4.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 12 days ago
Lifetime volume$389.2K128 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded90Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.2% / $95% interval −412.5% to +378.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−14.8%n=19 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$18.2K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg7¢Current0¢1,428.57Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg15¢Current0¢666.67Shares
France · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg59.5¢Current0¢1,680.67Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$93Avg30.3¢Current0¢306.75Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg21.6¢Current0¢4,629.63Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$99Avg17¢Current0¢582.35Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$42Avg46.8¢Current0¢89.27Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg46¢Current0¢434.78Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet arefnk: edge −17.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −412.5%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−14.8% over 19 fills); −$4.2K lifetime P&L, $389.2K traded, updated 2026-09-21.