PolyTrace
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Trader profile

65765757

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$231.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate81.1%132 settled · past 90 days37 open · 7% underwater · 48 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$9.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded321Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−22.5% / $95% interval −253.6% to +208.6%220 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+12.9%n=16 settled
Politics
−16.4%n=141 settled
Finance
−40.7%n=62 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 60 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 81.1% · Decided 132 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete48 minutes ago
Current position value
$445.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$151.2K
Concentration
18.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
65
Showing the largest 8 of 65
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$80.8KPnL+$12.7KAvg48.2¢Current57.2¢141,376.46Shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
NoValue$76.6KPnL+$2.1KAvg80.2¢Current82.5¢92,788.82Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
NoValue$66.6KPnL+$12.1KAvg70.8¢Current86.5¢77,005.04Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$53.2KPnL+$987Avg56.4¢Current57.5¢92,489.42Shares
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
NoValue$31.5KPnL+$733Avg87.4¢Current89.5¢35,165.77Shares
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$30.4KPnL+$1.3KAvg90¢Current94¢32,363.66Shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?
NoValue$28.5KPnL+$6.9KAvg73.3¢Current96.7¢29,468.58Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$14.2KPnL−$2.8KAvg85.8¢Current71.5¢19,797.11Shares
Showing 8 of 65 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 65765757: 81.1% win rate over 132 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −22.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −253.6%, n=220 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+12.9% over 16 fills); +$231.3K lifetime P&L, $9.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.