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Trader profile

Thalantyr

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$135.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate50%60 settled · past 90 days8 open · 88% underwater · 10 hours ago
Lifetime volume$45.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded45Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−43.4% / $95% interval −396.6% to +309.8%52 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−35.7%n=44 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 9 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 50% · Decided 60 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded10 hours ago
Current position value
$17.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.4K
Concentration
42.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
8
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$7.5KPnL−$8.3KAvg12¢Current5.7¢131,538.6Shares
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$7.3KPnL+$378Avg55¢Current58¢12,589.97Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$888Avg4¢Current7.6¢25,000Shares
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$778PnL−$813Avg9¢Current4.4¢17,673.73Shares
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$91PnL−$636Avg2.8¢Current0.4¢25,991.38Shares
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$83PnL+$77Avg0.2¢Current2.9¢2,903.52Shares
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$65PnL+$13Avg1¢Current1.3¢5,216.14Shares
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?
YesValue$4PnL−$19Avg0.3¢Current0.1¢7,474.89Shares
All 8 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Thalantyr: 50% win rate over 60 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −43.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −396.6%, n=52 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−35.7% over 44 fills); +$135.3K lifetime P&L, $45.1M traded, updated 2026-09-26.