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Trader profile

BlackswanDefi

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$5.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate52.5%101 settled · past 180 days20 open · 96% underwater · 4 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded182Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 52.5% · Decided 101 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 days ago
Current position value
$3.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$4.6K
Concentration
56.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
26
Showing the largest 8 of 26
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$2KPnL−$602Avg11¢Current8.5¢24,066.44Shares
YesValue$575PnL−$99Avg34¢Current29¢1,982.02Shares
YesValue$179PnL+$49Avg2¢Current2.8¢6,516.58Shares
YesValue$166PnL−$334Avg1.4¢Current0.5¢36,950.44Shares
NoValue$120PnL+$3Avg95.3¢Current98.1¢121.91Shares
YesValue$110PnL−$100Avg2.1¢Current1.1¢10,000Shares
YesValue$105PnL−$75Avg1.8¢Current1.1¢9,999.87Shares
NoValue$86PnL+$31Avg64¢Current99.7¢86.1Shares
Showing 8 of 26 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet BlackswanDefi: 52.5% win rate over 101 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$5.3K lifetime P&L, $5.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.