PolyTrace
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Trader profile

f5fgt5rd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$499Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate58.6%292 settled · past 180 days1 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$2.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded466Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.6% / $95% interval −24.3% to +7.1%27 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
+4.6%n=10 settled
Sports
−14.9%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 58.6% · Decided 292 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$4
Snapshot cash PnL
−$20K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
187
Showing the largest 8 of 187
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$4PnL−$34Avg4.2¢Current0.5¢918.06Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
Dplus KIAValue$0PnL−$81Avg39¢Current0¢207.81Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
KT Rolster · NoValue$0PnL−$170Avg17¢Current0¢999.98Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$2Avg1¢Current0¢200Shares
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics
Boston Red Sox · YesValue$0PnL−$57Avg57¢Current0¢100Shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winner
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · YesValue$0PnL−$254Avg50.7¢Current0¢500Shares
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group B
Sentinels · NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg2.1¢Current0¢200.01Shares
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
Bilibili Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$3Avg3¢Current0¢100.01Shares
Showing 8 of 187 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet f5fgt5rd: 58.6% win rate over 292 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −8.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −24.3%, n=27 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (+4.6% over 10 fills); −$499 lifetime P&L, $2.8M traded, updated 2026-09-25.