PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

libratus1

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$61.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate72.7%264 settled · past 90 days32 open · 41% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$3.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded680Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−1.6% / $95% interval −16.6% to +13.4%12 settled fills · 90d window
Tech
−1.9%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 72.7% · Decided 264 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$10.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$3.5K
Concentration
29%
Largest share of value
Positions
75
Showing the largest 8 of 75
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
NoValue$3KPnL+$97Avg87.1¢Current90¢3,356.41Shares
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$161Avg85.6¢Current97.7¢1,342.13Shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
NoValue$1.1KPnL+$157Avg85.5¢Current99.8¢1,100Shares
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
NoValue$1KPnL+$53Avg91¢Current96¢1,066.92Shares
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?
NoValue$757PnL−$113Avg68.4¢Current59.5¢1,273.07Shares
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?
NoValue$611PnL−$192Avg80.9¢Current61.6¢992.31Shares
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$538PnL+$42Avg66.8¢Current72.5¢742.33Shares
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
NoValue$448PnL+$4Avg83.7¢Current84.5¢530.74Shares
Showing 8 of 75 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet libratus1: 72.7% win rate over 264 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −1.6% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −16.6%, n=12 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Tech (−1.9% over 10 fills); +$61.2K lifetime P&L, $3.4M traded, updated 2026-09-26.