PolyTrace
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Trader profile

ZnotluvuiSamez

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$84.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 14 settled so far6 open · 100% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$6M628 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded48Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−48.3% / $95% interval −346.5% to +250.0%14 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−48.3%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$155.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$337.6K
Concentration
85.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
23
Showing the largest 8 of 23
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$132.1KPnL−$266.9KAvg13.1¢Current4.4¢3,037,795.66Shares
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$22.7KPnL−$67.1KAvg13.3¢Current3.4¢677,737.11Shares
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
YesValue$310PnL−$298Avg5.9¢Current3¢10,326.21Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
YesValue$26PnL−$565Avg3.4¢Current0.2¢17,467.72Shares
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
YesValue$18PnL−$32Avg12.2¢Current4.5¢408.55Shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$15PnL−$5Avg8.2¢Current6¢245.35Shares
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
YesValue$0PnL−$547Avg2.4¢Current0¢23,173.01Shares
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
NoValue$0PnL−$4Avg40¢Current0¢10Shares
Showing 8 of 23 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ZnotluvuiSamez: edge −48.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −346.5%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−48.3% over 14 fills); −$84.4K lifetime P&L, $6M traded, updated 2026-09-25.