PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

lottonakamoto

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$1.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…117 open · 57% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$799K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded748Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$10.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$213
Concentration
35%
Largest share of value
Positions
124
Showing the largest 8 of 124
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
NoValue$3.7KPnL+$23Avg87.3¢Current87.9¢4,188.29Shares
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
NoValue$1.4KPnL+$166Avg50.8¢Current57.4¢2,525.9Shares
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?
NoValue$558PnL−$14Avg87.7¢Current85.5¢652.23Shares
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
NoValue$534PnL−$16Avg89.6¢Current87¢614.32Shares
Will Waymo launch in Sacramento, CA by December 31 2026?
NoValue$489PnL+$18Avg77.6¢Current80.5¢607.96Shares
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$305PnL+$41Avg76.1¢Current88¢346.88Shares
Will Waymo launch in Detroit, MI by December 31 2026?
NoValue$250PnL+$11Avg85.9¢Current90¢277.93Shares
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?
NoValue$239PnL+$23Avg84.3¢Current93.5¢255.1Shares
Showing 8 of 124 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet lottonakamoto: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); +$1.4K lifetime P&L, $799K traded, updated 2026-09-23.