PolyTrace
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Trader profile

simulacrum3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$8.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Trade history could not be loaded40 open · 94% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$975K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,287Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Settled-position history could not be loaded.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.5K
Concentration
20.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
40
Showing the largest 8 of 40
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$390PnL+$51Avg61.2¢Current70.5¢553.43Shares
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
NoValue$176PnL+$32Avg48¢Current58.5¢300Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$155PnL+$3Avg76¢Current77.5¢200Shares
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
YesValue$115PnL−$98Avg43.6¢Current23.5¢488.57Shares
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$111PnL−$78Avg63¢Current37¢300Shares
Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?
YesValue$89PnL+$14Avg75.1¢Current89.3¢99.99Shares
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
YesValue$76PnL−$4Avg40¢Current38¢200Shares
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
YesValue$72PnL−$215Avg75.5¢Current19¢379.99Shares
Showing 8 of 40 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet simulacrum3: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$8.1K lifetime P&L, $975K traded, updated 2026-09-24.