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Trader profile

RiskIsForLosers

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$284.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.7%880 settled · past 90 days0 open · 6 days ago
Lifetime volume$13.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded648Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+16.7% / $95% interval −16.0% to +49.3%344 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+16.7%n=344 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 7 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.7% · Decided 880 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$56.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
13
Showing the largest 8 of 13
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres · YesValue$0PnL−$6.1KAvg58.5¢Current0¢10,365.99Shares
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles
Los Angeles Angels · YesValue$0PnL−$13KAvg44¢Current0¢29,545.45Shares
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs
Liquid · NoValue$0PnL$0Avg0¢Current0¢3,345.68Shares
National Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz · NoValue$0PnL−$2KAvg49¢Current0¢4,073.39Shares
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
TLN Pirates · YesValue$0PnL−$423Avg10.8¢Current0¢3,915.72Shares
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees
New York Yankees · NoValue$0PnL−$2.5KAvg31¢Current0¢8,000Shares
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Solary (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
Karmine Corp Blue · YesValue$0PnL−$241Avg7.7¢Current0¢3,145.19Shares
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians · NoValue$0PnL−$3.8KAvg53.6¢Current0¢7,104.77Shares
Showing 8 of 13 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet RiskIsForLosers: 44.7% win rate over 880 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −16.0%, n=344 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+16.7% over 344 fills); +$284.8K lifetime P&L, $13.1M traded, updated 2026-09-23.