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Trader profile

ic4cream

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$176.2KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate57.4%1,705 settled · past 90 days22 open · 8% underwater · 12 hours ago
Lifetime volume$32.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,052Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+8.9% / $95% interval +3.6% to +14.3%1,126 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+13.3%n=33 settled
Sports
+8.6%n=1,093 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 24 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 57.4% · Decided 1,705 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded12 hours ago
Current position value
$33.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$6M
Concentration
27.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,910
Showing the largest 8 of 1,910
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Eagles · YesValue$9.2KPnL+$434Avg64.3¢Current67.5¢13,689Shares
Atlanta Dream · YesValue$5.4KPnL+$912Avg49.4¢Current59.5¢9,064.99Shares
Patriots · NoValue$4KPnL+$43Avg46¢Current46.5¢8,695Shares
Over · YesValue$3.2KPnL+$224Avg47¢Current50.5¢6,406Shares
NoValue$3KPnL+$93Avg63¢Current65¢4,667Shares
Steelers · NoValue$2.6KPnL−$70Avg51.9¢Current50.5¢5,060Shares
Jaguars · NoValue$1.6KPnL+$2Avg59.4¢Current59.5¢2,697Shares
Florida · NoValue$775PnL+$7Avg58¢Current58.5¢1,324Shares
Showing 8 of 1,910 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ic4cream: 57.4% win rate over 1,705 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +8.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +3.6%, n=1,126 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+8.6% over 1,093 fills); +$176.2K lifetime P&L, $32.8M traded, updated 2026-09-23.