PolyTrace
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Trader profile

balabalababalabala

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$49.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…353 open · 78% underwater · 53 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$12.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,745Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−40.2% / $95% interval −526.1% to +445.7%30 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−27.2%n=17 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 21 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete53 minutes ago
Current position value
$39.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$92.6K
Concentration
13.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
1,191
Showing the largest 8 of 1,191
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
NoValue$5.1KPnL−$1.6KAvg46.5¢Current35.5¢14,499.96Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$2.9KPnL−$257Avg36.5¢Current33.5¢8,656.12Shares
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?
NoValue$1.5KPnL−$154Avg30.2¢Current27.5¢5,620.5Shares
Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$22Avg92.4¢Current93.8¢1,558.69Shares
Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?
YesValue$1.4KPnL+$86Avg61.9¢Current66¢2,103.21Shares
Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$1.6KAvg45.4¢Current20¢6,286.5Shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$68Avg31.1¢Current29.5¢4,252.7Shares
Will Paulo Mourão win the second-most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
NoValue$1.2KPnL+$99Avg90.4¢Current98.6¢1,221.97Shares
Showing 8 of 1,191 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet balabalababalabala: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −40.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −526.1%, n=30 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−27.2% over 17 fills); −$49.5K lifetime P&L, $12.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.