PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Predictandbreathe

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$158.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…40 open · 11% underwater · 19 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded553Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+0.8% / $95% interval −220.4% to +222.0%59 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−15.6%n=11 settled
Sports
−41.1%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded19 hours ago
Current position value
$12K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$31.5K
Concentration
17.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
96
Showing the largest 8 of 96
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$320Avg18¢Current21.2¢9,999.99Shares
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?
NoValue$1.3KPnL+$152Avg17.3¢Current19.5¢6,862.94Shares
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$759Avg4.8¢Current12.5¢9,881.95Shares
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
YesValue$1.1KPnL+$105Avg43.1¢Current47.5¢2,398.3Shares
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
YesValue$928PnL+$441Avg41.5¢Current79¢1,175.19Shares
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?
YesValue$782PnL+$476Avg19.1¢Current48.8¢1,601.99Shares
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
YesValue$681PnL+$162Avg23.2¢Current30.5¢2,232Shares
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?
YesValue$656PnL+$74Avg43.5¢Current49¢1,338Shares
Showing 8 of 96 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Predictandbreathe: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge +0.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −220.4%, n=59 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−15.6% over 11 fills); −$158.8K lifetime P&L, $20.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.