PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x26bd…1af5

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$13.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet0 open · 21 days ago
Lifetime volume$407.3K869 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded414Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−31.0% / $95% interval −193.9% to +131.9%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−31.0%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$54.4K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
193
Showing the largest 8 of 193
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Newport: Adrian Mannarino vs Remy Bertola
Remy Bertola · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg29¢Current0¢1,035.21Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struff
Brandon Nakashima · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg69¢Current0¢144.93Shares
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Stan Wawrinka · NoValue$0PnL−$300Avg37¢Current0¢811.08Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$200Avg34.4¢Current0¢581.63Shares
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron
Corentin Moutet · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg45¢Current0¢1,111.11Shares
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Spencer Johnson
Spencer Johnson · NoValue$0PnL−$100Avg60.3¢Current0¢165.85Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg29.4¢Current0¢340.5Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$100Avg36.8¢Current0¢271.39Shares
Showing 8 of 193 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x26bd41f377fdc408c7c43480b5c1ef0396be1af5: edge −31.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −193.9%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−31.0% over 20 fills); −$13.8K lifetime P&L, $407.3K traded, updated 2026-09-24.