PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

Gurupolimarket

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$6.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate65.4%2,289 settled · past 180 days4 open · 100% underwater · 43 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$4.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,519Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+6.2% / $95% interval −71.1% to +83.6%31 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+11.1%n=29 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 65.4% · Decided 2,289 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete43 minutes ago
Current position value
$48
Snapshot cash PnL
−$10
Concentration
96.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
4
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Down · NoValue$46PnL−$3Avg26.7¢Current25¢184.12Shares
YesValue$1PnL−$6Avg37¢Current5.5¢19.83Shares
NoValue$0.38PnL−$0.12Avg2.5¢Current1.9¢20Shares
YesValue$0.34PnL−$0.10Avg2.2¢Current1.7¢20Shares
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Gurupolimarket: 65.4% win rate over 2,289 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +6.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −71.1%, n=31 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+11.1% over 29 fills); −$6.4K lifetime P&L, $4.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.