PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x25db…28de

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$50.1KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44.8%143 settled · past 90 days8 open · 2% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$20.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded92Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−30.0% / $95% interval −384.2% to +324.3%49 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+2.9%n=20 settled
Politics
−47.1%n=28 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44.8% · Decided 143 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$16.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$55.6K
Concentration
80%
Largest share of value
Positions
65
Showing the largest 8 of 65
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$13.5KPnL+$3.2KAvg20.2¢Current26.5¢50,999.96Shares
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$2.1KPnL+$0.68Avg64¢Current64¢3,240.38Shares
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
YesValue$516PnL+$89Avg30.6¢Current37¢1,394.12Shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$470PnL+$53Avg45.8¢Current51.6¢910Shares
Iran leadership change by November 30?
YesValue$215PnL−$66Avg7.2¢Current5.5¢3,904.59Shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
YesValue$49PnL+$16Avg7.1¢Current10.5¢465.19Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
YesValue$41PnL+$6Avg9.3¢Current11¢373.89Shares
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YesValue$6PnL−$2Avg0.5¢Current0.4¢1,561.25Shares
Showing 8 of 65 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x25db6ca5935ae858a5c1f2dcd5c62939805328de: 44.8% win rate over 143 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −30.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −384.2%, n=49 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+2.9% over 20 fills); −$50.1K lifetime P&L, $20.8M traded, updated 2026-09-26.