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Trader profile

TTdes

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$162KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.5%61 settled · past 90 days12 open · 13% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded635Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−6.5% / $95% interval −32.0% to +19.0%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−6.5%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.5% · Decided 61 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$26.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$436.8K
Concentration
43.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
500
Showing the largest 8 of 500
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$11.5KPnL+$1.4KAvg84¢Current95.5¢12,000.06Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$6.4KPnL+$1.6KAvg70¢Current92.5¢6,916.37Shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$3.2KPnL+$264Avg39.9¢Current43.5¢7,373.87Shares
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$1.3KPnL+$282Avg34.4¢Current44¢2,938.41Shares
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$38Avg79¢Current81.5¢1,508.95Shares
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$855PnL−$465Avg44¢Current28.5¢3,000Shares
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
NoValue$804PnL+$82Avg84¢Current93.5¢860.03Shares
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$613PnL+$80Avg82.1¢Current94.5¢648.59Shares
Showing 8 of 500 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet TTdes: 47.5% win rate over 61 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −6.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −32.0%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−6.5% over 20 fills); +$162K lifetime P&L, $4.7M traded, updated 2026-09-26.