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Trader profile

XBTmidcurv

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$16Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Not measured yet75 open · 47% underwater · 16 hours ago
Lifetime volume$23.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,207Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

This wallet's win rate has not been measured yet.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded16 hours ago
Current position value
$481
Snapshot cash PnL
−$466
Concentration
8.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
136
Showing the largest 8 of 136
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 23?
YesValue$41PnL+$31Avg24.3¢Current99.5¢41.23Shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 23?
YesValue$37PnL+$27Avg27¢Current99.4¢37.04Shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 23?
NoValue$22PnL+$12Avg45¢Current100¢22.22Shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?
YesValue$18PnL+$9Avg49.6¢Current100¢18Shares
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?
YesValue$15PnL+$5Avg31¢Current47¢32.26Shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 24?
YesValue$14PnL+$4Avg27¢Current36.5¢37.04Shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 24?
YesValue$13PnL+$3Avg31¢Current40.5¢32.26Shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 23?
YesValue$12PnL+$2Avg56¢Current68.5¢17.86Shares
Showing 8 of 136 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet XBTmidcurv: edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$16 lifetime P&L, $23.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.