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Trader profile

arjennnnn

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$23.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate—Only 9 settled so far30 open · 32% underwater · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$11.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,066Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−0.5% / $95% interval −333.4% to +332.4%34 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
+19.8%n=12 settled
Politics
−13.4%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Too few positions have settled to establish a win-rate record.

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$34.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$6.1K
Concentration
37.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
36
Showing the largest 8 of 36
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$12.9KPnL+$98Avg98.6¢Current99.4¢13,000Shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$7.7KPnL+$7.3KAvg3.2¢Current57.2¢13,534.3Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YesValue$5.8KPnL+$5.3KAvg3.2¢Current42.5¢13,534.3Shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
YesValue$3.1KPnL−$1.2KAvg47.4¢Current34.5¢9,065.87Shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$60Avg96.1¢Current99.2¢1,962.84Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.5KPnL+$3Avg98.7¢Current98.9¢1,500Shares
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
NoValue$501PnL+$24Avg94.4¢Current99.2¢505Shares
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?
NoValue$341PnL−$65Avg81.1¢Current68.1¢500.69Shares
Showing 8 of 36 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet arjennnnn: edge −0.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −333.4%, n=34 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (+19.8% over 12 fills); +$23.7K lifetime P&L, $11.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.