PolyTrace
Back to wallets

Trader profile

debased

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.3MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate34.5%313 settled · past 90 days97 open · 57% underwater · 15 hours ago
Lifetime volume$508.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded133Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−15.9% / $95% interval −103.6% to +71.9%233 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
0.0%n=64 settled
Politics
−16.2%n=37 settled
Sports
−21.0%n=132 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 34.5% · Decided 313 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded15 hours ago
Current position value
$678.1K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$484.7K
Concentration
43.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
279
Showing the largest 8 of 279
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$292.1KPnL+$7.1KAvg50¢Current51.2¢570,000Shares
NoValue$277.9KPnL−$7.1KAvg50¢Current48.8¢570,000Shares
NoValue$25.5KPnL+$3.3KAvg82.1¢Current94.5¢26,991.89Shares
NoValue$10.1KPnL+$269Avg91¢Current93.5¢10,776.73Shares
NoValue$8.3KPnL+$76Avg98.7¢Current99.7¢8,341.14Shares
NoValue$7.3KPnL+$539Avg87.6¢Current94.5¢7,776.98Shares
NoValue$6.5KPnL+$60Avg96.3¢Current97.2¢6,716Shares
NoValue$5.5KPnL−$30Avg95.8¢Current95.3¢5,784.64Shares
Showing 8 of 279 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet debased: 34.5% win rate over 313 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −15.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −103.6%, n=233 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (0.0% over 64 fills); +$1.3M lifetime P&L, $508.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.