PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x246b…fb5b

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$95.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…1 open · 0% underwater · 9 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$6.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded503Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−14.2% / $95% interval −33.1% to +4.8%124 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+2.0%n=15 settled
Sports
−15.2%n=106 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete9 minutes ago
Current position value
$10K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$62.7K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
37
Showing the largest 8 of 37
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland
Xinyu Wang · YesValue$10KPnL+$1.2KAvg88¢Current100¢9,999.8Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$400Avg49¢Current0¢816.16Shares
Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego
Adrian Mannarino · YesValue$0PnL−$2.3KAvg34¢Current0¢6,739.79Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg50¢Current0¢1,000Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
Up · YesValue$0PnL−$500Avg45.9¢Current0¢1,088.84Shares
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$500Avg39¢Current0¢1,282.05Shares
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Ultra Prime · YesValue$0PnL−$1KAvg59.5¢Current0¢1,681.16Shares
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Team Nemesis (BO5) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
Team Nemesis · NoValue$0PnL−$975Avg15¢Current0¢6,499.99Shares
Showing 8 of 37 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x246be8a4e3805e318801b79ad1ee1268d5fbfb5b: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −14.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.1%, n=124 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.2% over 106 fills); +$95.5K lifetime P&L, $6.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.