PolyTrace
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Trader profile

updowduke

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$20.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate66.1%1,293 settled · past 90 days0 open · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$545.3K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded2,224Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.7% / $95% interval −89.6% to +56.2%20 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−16.7%n=20 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 12 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 66.1% · Decided 1,293 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$41K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
133
Showing the largest 8 of 133
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
Invictus Gaming · NoValue$0PnL−$400Avg38.8¢Current0¢1,030.67Shares
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland GuardiansValue$0PnL−$113Avg84.5¢Current0¢133.65Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
Nongshim Esports Academy · NoValue$0PnL−$200Avg57.5¢Current0¢347.85Shares
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kiwoom Heroes
Doosan Bears · YesValue$0PnL−$32Avg82¢Current0¢38.59Shares
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
ThunderTalk Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$115Avg70¢Current0¢164Shares
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Hanwha Life Esports · NoValue$0PnL−$1KAvg37¢Current0¢2,702.7Shares
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
Dplus KIA · YesValue$0PnL−$282Avg70.3¢Current0¢401.09Shares
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants
Kiwoom Heroes · YesValue$0PnL−$54Avg78.6¢Current0¢69Shares
Showing 8 of 133 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet updowduke: 66.1% win rate over 1,293 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −16.7% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −89.6%, n=20 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−16.7% over 20 fills); −$20.9K lifetime P&L, $545.3K traded, updated 2026-09-25.