PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x241F...e15a

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$3.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate73.9%241 settled · past 180 days11 open · 24% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$2.1M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded294Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+54.1% / $95% interval −192.1% to +300.4%21 settled fills · 90d window
Finance
−2.2%n=11 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 2 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 73.9% · Decided 241 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$12.7K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$833
Concentration
26.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
14
Showing the largest 8 of 14
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$3.4KPnL+$620Avg79.2¢Current96.8¢3,525.69Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$3KPnL+$382Avg86.6¢Current99.3¢2,999.98Shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NoValue$1.3KPnL−$94Avg87.9¢Current82¢1,590.77Shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$1.2KPnL+$141Avg82.6¢Current93.5¢1,292.67Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
YesValue$919PnL+$61Avg68.6¢Current73.5¢1,250.01Shares
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YesValue$675PnL−$279Avg19.1¢Current13.5¢5,000Shares
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?
NoValue$617PnL+$1Avg83.3¢Current83.5¢738.55Shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?
YesValue$506PnL+$194Avg59.4¢Current96.4¢525Shares
Showing 8 of 14 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x241F...e15a: 73.9% win rate over 241 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +54.1% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −192.1%, n=21 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Finance (−2.2% over 11 fills); +$3.5K lifetime P&L, $2.1M traded, updated 2026-09-24.