PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

kabina-

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$50.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.4%919 settled · past 180 days19 open · 79% underwater · 1 day ago
Lifetime volume$1.4M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,299Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.3% / $95% interval −34.5% to −0.1%151 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.0%n=137 settled
Unmapped
−20.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.4% · Decided 919 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 day ago
Current position value
$1.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$251
Concentration
64.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs 3DMAX (BO5) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
3DMAX · NoValue$820PnL−$9Avg41.9¢Current41.5¢1,975.53Shares
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$112PnL+$57Avg19¢Current38.5¢290.15Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
YesValue$107PnL−$93Avg43.9¢Current23.5¢455.48Shares
Nigeria Quadrangular T20 Series: Nigeria A vs Ghana
Nigeria A · YesValue$55PnL+$26Avg42.6¢Current81.5¢68.06Shares
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YesValue$41PnL−$67Avg13¢Current5¢834.47Shares
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$28PnL+$0.79Avg1.7¢Current1.8¢1,577.05Shares
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$26PnL+$4Avg5¢Current5.9¢443.18Shares
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YesValue$17PnL−$16Avg3.9¢Current2¢857.34Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kabina-: 48.4% win rate over 919 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −17.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.5%, n=151 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.0% over 137 fills); −$50.5K lifetime P&L, $1.4M traded, updated 2026-09-23.