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Trader profile

kabina-

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$47.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.4%919 settled · past 180 days35 open · 94% underwater · 1 hour ago
Lifetime volume$1.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded3,334Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−17.3% / $95% interval −34.5% to −0.1%151 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.0%n=137 settled
Unmapped
−20.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 5 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.4% · Decided 919 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded1 hour ago
Current position value
$2.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.7K
Concentration
18.1%
Largest share of value
Positions
42
Showing the largest 8 of 42
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$527PnL+$28Avg44¢Current46.5¢1,133.82Shares
NoValue$434PnL−$15Avg64.6¢Current62.5¢694.07Shares
Schalke 04 · YesValue$430PnL−$37Avg60.3¢Current55.5¢774.6Shares
Maxim Mrva · NoValue$376PnL−$94Avg59.3¢Current47.5¢792Shares
Valentina SteinerValue$180PnL−$13Avg18.8¢Current17.5¢1,029.58Shares
NoValue$156PnL+$6Avg60¢Current62.5¢250Shares
Oksana Selekhmeteva · NoValue$120PnL−$4Avg47.1¢Current45.5¢263.87Shares
YesValue$112PnL+$57Avg19¢Current38.5¢290.15Shares
Showing 8 of 42 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet kabina-: 48.4% win rate over 919 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −17.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −34.5%, n=151 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.0% over 137 fills); −$47.5K lifetime P&L, $1.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.