PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Copyright-1

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$29.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…32 open · 53% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$2.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,625Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−16.2% / $95% interval −119.1% to +86.6%17 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−15.5%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 50 minutes ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$14.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37.7K
Concentration
20.2%
Largest share of value
Positions
136
Showing the largest 8 of 136
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$3KPnL+$166Avg28.8¢Current30.5¢9,840.16Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$1.9KPnL+$827Avg50.3¢Current90.4¢2,064.67Shares
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YesValue$1.8KPnL−$142Avg18.3¢Current16.9¢10,409.92Shares
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$1KPnL+$163Avg42.9¢Current51.1¢2,000Shares
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
YesValue$905PnL+$95Avg81¢Current90.5¢999.99Shares
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$884PnL−$64Avg9.1¢Current8.5¢10,399.99Shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$876PnL−$21Avg21.5¢Current21¢4,179.49Shares
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
YesValue$792PnL+$48Avg39¢Current41.5¢1,907.72Shares
Showing 8 of 136 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

BUYYES
Unknown · 16.4¢
$1K
SELLYES
Unknown · 26.1¢
$1.3K
BUYYES
Unknown · 25.8¢
$1.2K

About this wallet

Wallet Copyright-1: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −16.2% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −119.1%, n=17 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−15.5% over 13 fills); −$29.6K lifetime P&L, $2.3M traded, updated 2026-09-26.